Empoli FCvs
AS RomaEmpoli FC 0-1 AS Roma — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie A 2024-2025Sun, 09 Mar 2025 17:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AS Roma56%
- Empoli FC 21%
- Draw 23%
- AS Roma 56%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick AS Roma, rating it at 55.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Empoli FC won 1 of 8. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. AS Roma's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 3. Empoli FC's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AS Roma's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Empoli FC: LWDDD
AS Roma: WWDLW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 3.38Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 63%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-09 | Empoli FC vs AS Roma | 0–1 |
| 2024-08-25 | AS Roma vs Empoli FC | 1–2 |
| 2024-05-26 | Empoli vs AS Roma | 2–1 |
| 2023-09-17 | AS Roma vs Empoli | 7–0 |
| 2023-02-04 | AS Roma vs Empoli | 2–0 |
| 2022-09-12 | Empoli vs AS Roma | 1–2 |
| 2022-01-23 | Empoli vs AS Roma | 2–4 |
| 2021-10-03 | AS Roma vs Empoli | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Empoli FC vs AS Roma?
- Tofiko's model favours AS Roma (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Empoli FC vs AS Roma kick off?
- Sun, 09 Mar 2025 17:00 GMT — Italian Serie A 2024-2025.
- What is the Empoli FC vs AS Roma head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.38 goals per game.