Empoli FC crestEmpoli FCvsAtalanta BC crestAtalanta BC

Empoli FC 0-5 Atalanta BC — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie A 2024-2025Sun, 23 Feb 2025 17:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Atalanta BC60%

  • Empoli FC 18%
  • Draw 21%
  • Atalanta BC 60%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Atalanta BC, rating it at 60.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and Empoli FC won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 21.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

Empoli FC: LWDDD

Atalanta BC: WWWDW

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 8Games
  • 3.25Avg goals
  • 38%Both scored
  • 63%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-02-23Empoli FC vs Atalanta BC0–5
2024-12-22Atalanta BC vs Empoli FC3–2
2024-04-28Atalanta vs Empoli2–0
2023-10-30Empoli vs Atalanta0–3
2023-03-17Atalanta vs Empoli2–1
2022-10-30Empoli vs Atalanta0–2
2022-05-21Atalanta vs Empoli0–1
2021-10-17Empoli vs Atalanta1–4

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Empoli FC vs Atalanta BC?
Tofiko's model favours Atalanta BC (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Empoli FC vs Atalanta BC kick off?
Sun, 23 Feb 2025 17:00 GMT — Italian Serie A 2024-2025.
What is the Empoli FC vs Atalanta BC head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.

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