ACF Fiorentina crestACF FiorentinavsAS Roma crestAS Roma

ACF Fiorentina vs AS Roma Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie ASun, 09 May 2027 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

AS Roma or draw70%

1X2: model backs AS Roma at 39% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.

Tofiko30% / 31% / 39%
  • ACF Fiorentina
  • Draw
  • AS Roma

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

Remind me before kick-off

Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.

More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • ACF Fiorentina or draw61%
  • Draw or AS Roma70%
  • ACF Fiorentina or AS Roma69%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.548%
  • Under 2.552%

Both teams to score

  • ACF Fiorentina, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • AS Roma, last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick AS Roma, rating it at 38.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and ACF Fiorentina won 1 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 210 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

ACF Fiorentina: LDWWL

AS Roma: DDWDW

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 210 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.10Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-24AS Roma vs ACF Fiorentina4–0
2026-05-04AS Roma vs ACF Fiorentina4–0
2025-10-05ACF Fiorentina vs AS Roma1–2
2025-05-04AS Roma vs ACF Fiorentina1–0
2024-10-27ACF Fiorentina vs AS Roma5–1
2024-03-10Fiorentina vs AS Roma2–2
2023-12-10AS Roma vs Fiorentina1–1
2023-05-27Fiorentina vs AS Roma2–1
2023-01-15AS Roma vs Fiorentina2–0
2022-05-09Fiorentina vs AS Roma2–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win ACF Fiorentina vs AS Roma?
Tofiko's model favours AS Roma (39% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does ACF Fiorentina vs AS Roma kick off?
Sun, 09 May 2027 16:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the ACF Fiorentina vs AS Roma head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legAS Roma 4-0 Fiorentina24 Aug 2026 →