AS Romavs
ACF FiorentinaAS Roma vs ACF Fiorentina Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie AMon, 24 Aug 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AS Roma55%
- AS Roma 55%
- Draw 28%
- ACF Fiorentina 17%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick AS Roma, rating it at 54.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and AS Roma won 5 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AS Roma's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
AS Roma: WLDWW
ACF Fiorentina: DDWLW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | AS Roma vs ACF Fiorentina | 4–0 |
| 2025-10-05 | ACF Fiorentina vs AS Roma | 1–2 |
| 2025-05-04 | AS Roma vs ACF Fiorentina | 1–0 |
| 2024-10-27 | ACF Fiorentina vs AS Roma | 5–1 |
| 2024-03-10 | Fiorentina vs AS Roma | 2–2 |
| 2023-12-10 | AS Roma vs Fiorentina | 1–1 |
| 2023-05-27 | Fiorentina vs AS Roma | 2–1 |
| 2023-01-15 | AS Roma vs Fiorentina | 2–0 |
| 2022-05-09 | Fiorentina vs AS Roma | 2–0 |
| 2021-08-22 | AS Roma vs Fiorentina | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win AS Roma vs ACF Fiorentina?
- Tofiko's model favours AS Roma (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AS Roma vs ACF Fiorentina kick off?
- Mon, 24 Aug 2026 18:45 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the AS Roma vs ACF Fiorentina head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.