ACF Fiorentinavs
Empoli FCACF Fiorentina 2-1 Empoli FC — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie A 2024-2025Sun, 27 Apr 2025 13:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs ACF Fiorentina61%
- ACF Fiorentina 61%
- Draw 22%
- Empoli FC 17%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick ACF Fiorentina, rating it at 61.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and ACF Fiorentina won 1 of 8, with 4 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 22.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
ACF Fiorentina: LLWDD
Empoli FC: LWDDD
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 1.63Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-27 | ACF Fiorentina vs Empoli FC | 2–1 |
| 2024-09-29 | Empoli FC vs ACF Fiorentina | 0–0 |
| 2024-02-18 | Empoli vs Fiorentina | 1–1 |
| 2023-10-23 | Fiorentina vs Empoli | 0–2 |
| 2023-02-19 | Fiorentina vs Empoli | 1–1 |
| 2022-08-21 | Empoli vs Fiorentina | 0–0 |
| 2022-04-03 | Fiorentina vs Empoli | 1–0 |
| 2021-11-27 | Empoli vs Fiorentina | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win ACF Fiorentina vs Empoli FC?
- Tofiko's model favours ACF Fiorentina (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does ACF Fiorentina vs Empoli FC kick off?
- Sun, 27 Apr 2025 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie A 2024-2025.
- What is the ACF Fiorentina vs Empoli FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 4 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.63 goals per game.