ACF Fiorentina vs Frosinone Calcio Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie ASat, 29 Aug 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs ACF Fiorentina63%
- ACF Fiorentina 63%
- Draw 23%
- Frosinone Calcio 14%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick ACF Fiorentina, rating it at 63.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and ACF Fiorentina won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 63.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
ACF Fiorentina: DDWLW
Frosinone Calcio: DDWWW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-11 | Fiorentina vs Frosinone | 5–1 |
| 2023-09-28 | Frosinone vs Fiorentina | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win ACF Fiorentina vs Frosinone Calcio?
- Tofiko's model favours ACF Fiorentina (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does ACF Fiorentina vs Frosinone Calcio kick off?
- Sat, 29 Aug 2026 16:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the ACF Fiorentina vs Frosinone Calcio head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.