ACF Fiorentina crestACF FiorentinavsGenoa CFC crestGenoa CFC

ACF Fiorentina vs Genoa CFC Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie ASun, 21 Mar 2027 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

ACF Fiorentina to win54%

1X2: model backs ACF Fiorentina at 54%.

Tofiko54% / 29% / 17%
  • ACF Fiorentina
  • Draw
  • Genoa CFC

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • ACF Fiorentina or draw83%
  • Draw or Genoa CFC46%
  • ACF Fiorentina or Genoa CFC71%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.545%
  • Under 2.555%

Both teams to score

  • ACF Fiorentina, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • Genoa CFC, last 10 away games3 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick ACF Fiorentina, rating it at 54.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and ACF Fiorentina won 2 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 161 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

ACF Fiorentina: LDWWL

Genoa CFC: WLLWD

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 161 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.90Avg goals
  • 70%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-10-10Genoa CFC vs ACF Fiorentina2–1
2026-05-10ACF Fiorentina vs Genoa CFC0–0
2025-11-09Genoa CFC vs ACF Fiorentina2–2
2025-02-02ACF Fiorentina vs Genoa CFC2–1
2024-10-31Genoa CFC vs ACF Fiorentina0–1
2024-04-15Fiorentina vs Genoa1–1
2023-08-19Genoa vs Fiorentina1–4
2022-01-17Fiorentina vs Genoa6–0
2021-09-18Genoa vs Fiorentina1–2
2021-04-03Genoa vs Fiorentina1–1

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FAQ

Who will win ACF Fiorentina vs Genoa CFC?
Tofiko's model favours ACF Fiorentina (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does ACF Fiorentina vs Genoa CFC kick off?
Sun, 21 Mar 2027 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the ACF Fiorentina vs Genoa CFC head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 4 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.90 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legGenoa 2-1 Fiorentina10 Oct 2026 →