Genoa CFCvs
ACF FiorentinaGenoa CFC vs ACF Fiorentina Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie ASun, 11 Oct 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs ACF Fiorentina37%
- Genoa CFC 30%
- Draw 32%
- ACF Fiorentina 37%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks ACF Fiorentina, rating it at 37.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Genoa CFC won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. ACF Fiorentina's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Genoa CFC's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- ACF Fiorentina's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Genoa CFC: WDWLL
ACF Fiorentina: DWLWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.80Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | ACF Fiorentina vs Genoa CFC | 0–0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Genoa CFC vs ACF Fiorentina | 2–2 |
| 2025-02-02 | ACF Fiorentina vs Genoa CFC | 2–1 |
| 2024-10-31 | Genoa CFC vs ACF Fiorentina | 0–1 |
| 2024-04-15 | Fiorentina vs Genoa | 1–1 |
| 2023-08-19 | Genoa vs Fiorentina | 1–4 |
| 2022-01-17 | Fiorentina vs Genoa | 6–0 |
| 2021-09-18 | Genoa vs Fiorentina | 1–2 |
| 2021-04-03 | Genoa vs Fiorentina | 1–1 |
| 2020-12-07 | Fiorentina vs Genoa | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Genoa CFC vs ACF Fiorentina?
- Tofiko's model favours ACF Fiorentina (37% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Genoa CFC vs ACF Fiorentina kick off?
- Sun, 11 Oct 2026 16:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the Genoa CFC vs ACF Fiorentina head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 5 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.