ACF Fiorentina crestACF FiorentinavsUS Lecce crestUS Lecce

ACF Fiorentina vs US Lecce Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie ASun, 10 Jan 2027 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

ACF Fiorentina to win58%

1X2: model backs ACF Fiorentina at 58%.

Tofiko58% / 28% / 13%
  • ACF Fiorentina
  • Draw
  • US Lecce

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • ACF Fiorentina or draw87%
  • Draw or US Lecce42%
  • ACF Fiorentina or US Lecce72%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.539%
  • Under 2.561%

Both teams to score

  • ACF Fiorentina, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • US Lecce, last 10 away games2 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick ACF Fiorentina, rating it at 58.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and ACF Fiorentina won 2 of 8, with 3 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 91 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

ACF Fiorentina: LDWWL

US Lecce: LLWLL

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 91 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 8Games
  • 2.75Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 38%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-20US Lecce vs ACF Fiorentina1–1
2025-11-02ACF Fiorentina vs US Lecce0–1
2025-02-28ACF Fiorentina vs US Lecce1–0
2024-10-20US Lecce vs ACF Fiorentina0–6
2024-02-02Lecce vs Fiorentina3–2
2023-08-27Fiorentina vs Lecce2–2
2023-03-19Fiorentina vs Lecce1–0
2022-10-17Lecce vs Fiorentina1–1

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FAQ

Who will win ACF Fiorentina vs US Lecce?
Tofiko's model favours ACF Fiorentina (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does ACF Fiorentina vs US Lecce kick off?
Sun, 10 Jan 2027 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the ACF Fiorentina vs US Lecce head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureLecce vs Fiorentina16 May 2027 →