ACF Fiorentinavs
US LecceACF Fiorentina vs US Lecce Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie ASun, 10 Jan 2027 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs ACF Fiorentina58%
- ACF Fiorentina 58%
- Draw 28%
- US Lecce 13%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick ACF Fiorentina, rating it at 58.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and ACF Fiorentina won 2 of 8, with 3 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- ACF Fiorentina's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
ACF Fiorentina: DWLWW
US Lecce: WDLWW
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 38%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-20 | US Lecce vs ACF Fiorentina | 1–1 |
| 2025-11-02 | ACF Fiorentina vs US Lecce | 0–1 |
| 2025-02-28 | ACF Fiorentina vs US Lecce | 1–0 |
| 2024-10-20 | US Lecce vs ACF Fiorentina | 0–6 |
| 2024-02-02 | Lecce vs Fiorentina | 3–2 |
| 2023-08-27 | Fiorentina vs Lecce | 2–2 |
| 2023-03-19 | Fiorentina vs Lecce | 1–0 |
| 2022-10-17 | Lecce vs Fiorentina | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win ACF Fiorentina vs US Lecce?
- Tofiko's model favours ACF Fiorentina (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does ACF Fiorentina vs US Lecce kick off?
- Sun, 10 Jan 2027 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the ACF Fiorentina vs US Lecce head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.