US Leccevs
ACF FiorentinaUS Lecce vs ACF Fiorentina Prediction, H2H & Form
Italian Serie ASun, 16 May 2027 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
ACF Fiorentina or draw76%
1X2: model backs ACF Fiorentina at 43% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- US Lecce
- Draw
- ACF Fiorentina
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- US Lecce or draw57%
- Draw or ACF Fiorentina76%
- US Lecce or ACF Fiorentina67%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.535%
- Under 2.565%
Both teams to score
- US Lecce, last 10 home games5 of 10
- ACF Fiorentina, last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick ACF Fiorentina, rating it at 42.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and US Lecce won 1 of 8, with 3 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 217 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
US Lecce: LLWLL
ACF Fiorentina: LDWWL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 217 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 8Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 38%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-20 | US Lecce vs ACF Fiorentina | 1–1 |
| 2025-11-02 | ACF Fiorentina vs US Lecce | 0–1 |
| 2025-02-28 | ACF Fiorentina vs US Lecce | 1–0 |
| 2024-10-20 | US Lecce vs ACF Fiorentina | 0–6 |
| 2024-02-02 | Lecce vs Fiorentina | 3–2 |
| 2023-08-27 | Fiorentina vs Lecce | 2–2 |
| 2023-03-19 | Fiorentina vs Lecce | 1–0 |
| 2022-10-17 | Lecce vs Fiorentina | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win US Lecce vs ACF Fiorentina?
- Tofiko's model favours ACF Fiorentina (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does US Lecce vs ACF Fiorentina kick off?
- Sun, 16 May 2027 16:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the US Lecce vs ACF Fiorentina head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.