ACF Fiorentina vs Pisa SC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie A 2025-2026Mon, 23 Feb 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: ACF Fiorentina 1–0 Pisa SC
Tofiko prediction
Model backs ACF Fiorentina66%
- ACF Fiorentina 66%
- Draw 20%
- Pisa SC 14%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick ACF Fiorentina, rating it at 66.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and ACF Fiorentina won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 66.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. ACF Fiorentina's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Pisa SC's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 20.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- ACF Fiorentina's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
ACF Fiorentina: DWLWW
Pisa SC: LDDLL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 0.50Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | ACF Fiorentina vs Pisa SC | 1–0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Pisa SC vs ACF Fiorentina | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win ACF Fiorentina vs Pisa SC?
- Tofiko's model favours ACF Fiorentina (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does ACF Fiorentina vs Pisa SC kick off?
- Mon, 23 Feb 2026 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A 2025-2026.
- What is the ACF Fiorentina vs Pisa SC head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 0.50 goals per game.