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ACF Fiorentina crestACF FiorentinavsPisa SC crestPisa SC

ACF Fiorentina vs Pisa SC Prediction, H2H & Stats

Italian Serie A 2025-2026Mon, 23 Feb 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: ACF Fiorentina 10 Pisa SC

Tofiko prediction

Model backs ACF Fiorentina66%

ACF Fiorentina 66%
Draw 20%
Pisa SC 14%
  • ACF Fiorentina 66%
  • Draw 20%
  • Pisa SC 14%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick ACF Fiorentina, rating it at 66.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and ACF Fiorentina won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 66.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. ACF Fiorentina's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Pisa SC's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.

The model puts the draw at 20.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • ACF Fiorentina's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

ACF Fiorentina: DWLWW

Pisa SC: LDDLL

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 0.50Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-23ACF Fiorentina vs Pisa SC1–0
2025-09-28Pisa SC vs ACF Fiorentina0–0

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FAQ

Who will win ACF Fiorentina vs Pisa SC?
Tofiko's model favours ACF Fiorentina (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does ACF Fiorentina vs Pisa SC kick off?
Mon, 23 Feb 2026 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A 2025-2026.
What is the ACF Fiorentina vs Pisa SC head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 0.50 goals per game.

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