ACF Fiorentina vs US Sassuolo Calcio Prediction, H2H & Form
Italian Serie ASun, 24 Jan 2027 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
ACF Fiorentina to win55%
1X2: model backs ACF Fiorentina at 55%.
- ACF Fiorentina
- Draw
- US Sassuolo Calcio
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- ACF Fiorentina or draw81%
- Draw or US Sassuolo Calcio45%
- ACF Fiorentina or US Sassuolo Calcio74%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.559%
- Under 2.541%
Both teams to score
- ACF Fiorentina, last 10 home games6 of 10
- US Sassuolo Calcio, last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick ACF Fiorentina, rating it at 55.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and ACF Fiorentina won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 105 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
ACF Fiorentina: LDWWL
US Sassuolo Calcio: DLWDD
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 105 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | ACF Fiorentina vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 0–0 |
| 2025-12-06 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs ACF Fiorentina | 3–1 |
| 2024-04-28 | Fiorentina vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 5–1 |
| 2024-01-06 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs Fiorentina | 1–0 |
| 2023-06-02 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs Fiorentina | 1–3 |
| 2023-01-07 | Fiorentina vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 2–1 |
| 2022-02-26 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs Fiorentina | 2–1 |
| 2021-12-19 | Fiorentina vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 2–2 |
| 2021-04-17 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs Fiorentina | 3–1 |
| 2020-12-16 | Fiorentina vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win ACF Fiorentina vs US Sassuolo Calcio?
- Tofiko's model favours ACF Fiorentina (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does ACF Fiorentina vs US Sassuolo Calcio kick off?
- Sun, 24 Jan 2027 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the ACF Fiorentina vs US Sassuolo Calcio head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.