Hellas Verona FCvs
ACF FiorentinaHellas Verona FC vs ACF Fiorentina Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie A 2025-2026Sat, 04 Apr 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Hellas Verona FC 0–1 ACF Fiorentina
Tofiko prediction
Model backs ACF Fiorentina45%
- Hellas Verona FC 30%
- Draw 24%
- ACF Fiorentina 45%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick ACF Fiorentina, rating it at 45.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Hellas Verona FC won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- ACF Fiorentina's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Hellas Verona FC: WWWLD
ACF Fiorentina: DWLWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.20Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Hellas Verona FC vs ACF Fiorentina | 0–1 |
| 2025-12-14 | ACF Fiorentina vs Hellas Verona FC | 1–2 |
| 2025-02-23 | Hellas Verona FC vs ACF Fiorentina | 1–0 |
| 2024-11-10 | ACF Fiorentina vs Hellas Verona FC | 3–1 |
| 2024-05-05 | Hellas Verona vs Fiorentina | 2–1 |
| 2023-12-17 | Fiorentina vs Hellas Verona | 1–0 |
| 2023-02-27 | Hellas Verona vs Fiorentina | 0–3 |
| 2022-09-18 | Fiorentina vs Hellas Verona | 2–0 |
| 2022-03-06 | Fiorentina vs Hellas Verona | 1–1 |
| 2021-12-22 | Hellas Verona vs Fiorentina | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Hellas Verona FC vs ACF Fiorentina?
- Tofiko's model favours ACF Fiorentina (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Hellas Verona FC vs ACF Fiorentina kick off?
- Sat, 04 Apr 2026 15:59 GMT — Italian Serie A 2025-2026.
- What is the Hellas Verona FC vs ACF Fiorentina head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.20 goals per game.