Hellas Verona FC crestHellas Verona FCvsSS Lazio crestSS Lazio

Hellas Verona FC 0-1 SS Lazio — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie A 2025-2026Sun, 11 Jan 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs SS Lazio52%

  • Hellas Verona FC 25%
  • Draw 24%
  • SS Lazio 52%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick SS Lazio, rating it at 51.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Hellas Verona FC won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 24.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Hellas Verona FC: DLDLW

SS Lazio: WWLWW

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 2.90Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-11Hellas Verona FC vs SS Lazio0–1
2025-08-31SS Lazio vs Hellas Verona FC4–0
2025-01-19Hellas Verona FC vs SS Lazio0–3
2024-09-16SS Lazio vs Hellas Verona FC2–1
2024-04-27Lazio vs Hellas Verona1–0
2023-12-09Hellas Verona vs Lazio1–1
2023-02-06Hellas Verona vs Lazio1–1
2022-09-11Lazio vs Hellas Verona2–0
2022-05-21Lazio vs Hellas Verona3–3
2021-10-24Hellas Verona vs Lazio4–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Hellas Verona FC vs SS Lazio?
Tofiko's model favours SS Lazio (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Hellas Verona FC vs SS Lazio kick off?
Sun, 11 Jan 2026 17:00 GMT — Italian Serie A 2025-2026.
What is the Hellas Verona FC vs SS Lazio head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.90 goals per game.

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