Inter Milan vs US Lecce Prediction, H2H & Form
Italian Serie ASun, 09 May 2027 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Inter Milan to win76%
1X2: model backs Inter Milan at 76%.
- Inter Milan
- Draw
- US Lecce
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Inter Milan or draw93%
- Draw or US Lecce24%
- Inter Milan or US Lecce83%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.555%
- Under 2.545%
Both teams to score
- Inter Milan, last 10 home games5 of 10
- US Lecce, last 10 away games2 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Inter Milan, rating it at 76.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Inter Milan won all of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Inter Milan's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 209 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Inter Milan: WWDWL
US Lecce: LLWLL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 209 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 8Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 13%Both scored
- 38%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | US Lecce vs Inter Milan | 0–2 |
| 2026-01-14 | Inter Milan vs US Lecce | 1–0 |
| 2025-01-26 | US Lecce vs Inter Milan | 0–4 |
| 2024-08-24 | Inter Milan vs US Lecce | 2–0 |
| 2024-02-25 | Lecce vs Inter Milan | 0–4 |
| 2023-12-23 | Inter Milan vs Lecce | 2–0 |
| 2023-03-05 | Inter Milan vs Lecce | 2–0 |
| 2022-08-13 | Lecce vs Inter Milan | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Inter Milan vs US Lecce?
- Tofiko's model favours Inter Milan (76% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Inter Milan vs US Lecce kick off?
- Sun, 09 May 2027 16:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the Inter Milan vs US Lecce head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.