US Lecce vs Inter Milan Prediction, H2H & Form
Italian Serie AFri, 18 Dec 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Inter Milan to win69%
1X2: model backs Inter Milan at 69%.
- US Lecce
- Draw
- Inter Milan
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- US Lecce or draw31%
- Draw or Inter Milan90%
- US Lecce or Inter Milan79%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.547%
- Under 2.553%
Both teams to score
- US Lecce, last 10 home games5 of 10
- Inter Milan, last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Inter Milan, rating it at 69.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and US Lecce won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Inter Milan's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 67 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
US Lecce: LLWLL
Inter Milan: WWDWL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 67 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 8Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 13%Both scored
- 38%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | US Lecce vs Inter Milan | 0–2 |
| 2026-01-14 | Inter Milan vs US Lecce | 1–0 |
| 2025-01-26 | US Lecce vs Inter Milan | 0–4 |
| 2024-08-24 | Inter Milan vs US Lecce | 2–0 |
| 2024-02-25 | Lecce vs Inter Milan | 0–4 |
| 2023-12-23 | Inter Milan vs Lecce | 2–0 |
| 2023-03-05 | Inter Milan vs Lecce | 2–0 |
| 2022-08-13 | Lecce vs Inter Milan | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win US Lecce vs Inter Milan?
- Tofiko's model favours Inter Milan (69% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does US Lecce vs Inter Milan kick off?
- Fri, 18 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the US Lecce vs Inter Milan head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.