Inter Milan crestInter MilanvsUdinese Calcio crestUdinese Calcio

Inter Milan 5-3 Udinese Calcio — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie AMon, 14 Sep 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Inter Milan74%

  • Inter Milan 74%
  • Draw 17%
  • Udinese Calcio 8%
Market implied probability

The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.

Create a free account

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Inter Milan, rating it at 74.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Inter Milan won 8 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 17.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Inter Milan's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 15 Sep 2026.

Inter Milan: WLWWW

Udinese Calcio: LLWWD

Head-to-head

As of 15 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 3.80Avg goals
  • 80%Both scored
  • 90%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-14Inter Milan vs Udinese Calcio5–3
2026-01-17Udinese Calcio vs Inter Milan0–1
2025-08-31Inter Milan vs Udinese Calcio1–2
2025-03-30Inter Milan vs Udinese Calcio2–1
2024-09-28Udinese Calcio vs Inter Milan2–3
2024-04-08Udinese vs Inter Milan1–2
2023-12-09Inter Milan vs Udinese4–0
2023-02-18Inter Milan vs Udinese3–1
2022-09-18Udinese vs Inter Milan3–1
2022-05-01Udinese vs Inter Milan1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Inter Milan vs Udinese Calcio?
Tofiko's model favours Inter Milan (74% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Inter Milan vs Udinese Calcio kick off?
Mon, 14 Sep 2026 18:45 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the Inter Milan vs Udinese Calcio head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 0 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 3.80 goals per game.

More predictions

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

Reverse fixtureUdinese vs Inter7 Mar 2027 →