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SS Lazio crestSS LaziovsPisa SC crestPisa SC

SS Lazio vs Pisa SC Prediction, H2H & Stats

Italian Serie A 2025-2026Sat, 23 May 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: finished

Final: SS Lazio 21 Pisa SC

Tofiko prediction

Model backs SS Lazio74%

SS Lazio 74%
Draw 18%
Pisa SC 8%
  • SS Lazio 74%
  • Draw 18%
  • Pisa SC 8%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick SS Lazio, rating it at 74.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and SS Lazio won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 74.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. SS Lazio's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Pisa SC's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.

The model puts the draw at 17.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • SS Lazio's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

SS Lazio: WWWWL

Pisa SC: LDDLL

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-23SS Lazio vs Pisa SC2–1
2025-10-30Pisa SC vs SS Lazio0–0

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FAQ

Who will win SS Lazio vs Pisa SC?
Tofiko's model favours SS Lazio (74% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does SS Lazio vs Pisa SC kick off?
Sat, 23 May 2026 18:45 GMT — Italian Serie A 2025-2026.
What is the SS Lazio vs Pisa SC head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

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