US Leccevs
AC MilanUS Lecce vs AC Milan Prediction, H2H & Form
Italian Serie ASun, 25 Apr 2027 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
AC Milan to win55%
1X2: model backs AC Milan at 55%.
- US Lecce
- Draw
- AC Milan
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- US Lecce or draw45%
- Draw or AC Milan83%
- US Lecce or AC Milan73%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.540%
- Under 2.560%
Both teams to score
- US Lecce, last 10 home games5 of 10
- AC Milan, last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (379 games)47%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick AC Milan, rating it at 55.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and US Lecce won none of them. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 195 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
US Lecce: LLWLL
AC Milan: DWLDD
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 195 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 9Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | AC Milan vs US Lecce | 3–0 |
| 2026-01-18 | AC Milan vs US Lecce | 1–0 |
| 2025-08-29 | US Lecce vs AC Milan | 0–2 |
| 2025-03-08 | US Lecce vs AC Milan | 2–3 |
| 2024-09-27 | AC Milan vs US Lecce | 3–0 |
| 2024-04-06 | AC Milan vs Lecce | 3–0 |
| 2023-11-11 | Lecce vs AC Milan | 2–2 |
| 2023-04-23 | AC Milan vs Lecce | 2–0 |
| 2023-01-14 | Lecce vs AC Milan | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win US Lecce vs AC Milan?
- Tofiko's model favours AC Milan (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does US Lecce vs AC Milan kick off?
- Sun, 25 Apr 2027 16:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the US Lecce vs AC Milan head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.