?
US Lecce crestUS LeccevsUS Cremonese crestUS Cremonese

US Lecce vs US Cremonese Prediction, H2H & Stats

Italian Serie A 2025-2026Sun, 08 Mar 2026 11:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: US Lecce 21 US Cremonese

Tofiko prediction

Model backs US Lecce47%

US Lecce 47%
Draw 26%
US Cremonese 27%
  • US Lecce 47%
  • Draw 26%
  • US Cremonese 27%
Market implied probability

The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.

Create a free account

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick US Lecce, rating it at 46.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and US Lecce won 1 of 8, with 2 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

US Lecce: WDLWW

US Cremonese: DWLWW

Head-to-head

  • 8Games
  • 2.75Avg goals
  • 63%Both scored
  • 63%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-08US Lecce vs US Cremonese2–1
2025-12-07US Cremonese vs US Lecce2–0
2023-02-04Cremonese vs Lecce0–2
2022-10-02Lecce vs Cremonese1–1
2022-01-23Lecce vs Cremonese2–1
2021-08-22Cremonese vs Lecce3–0
2021-02-13Cremonese vs Lecce1–2
2020-10-21Lecce vs Cremonese2–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win US Lecce vs US Cremonese?
Tofiko's model favours US Lecce (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does US Lecce vs US Cremonese kick off?
Sun, 08 Mar 2026 11:30 GMT — Italian Serie A 2025-2026.
What is the US Lecce vs US Cremonese head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.

More predictions

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.