US Lecce crestUS LeccevsAC Monza crestAC Monza

US Lecce vs AC Monza Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie ASun, 13 Sep 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs US Lecce45%

  • US Lecce 45%
  • Draw 28%
  • AC Monza 27%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick US Lecce, rating it at 45.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and US Lecce won 1 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 9 Sep 2026.

US Lecce: LLWLW

AC Monza: DWLLW

Head-to-head

As of 9 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 40%Both scored
  • 20%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-02-16AC Monza vs US Lecce0–0
2024-12-15US Lecce vs AC Monza2–1
2024-04-27Lecce vs AC Monza1–1
2023-09-17AC Monza vs Lecce1–1
2023-05-28A.C. Monza vs Lecce0–1
2022-09-11Lecce vs A.C. Monza1–1
2022-02-27A.C. Monza vs Lecce0–1
2021-10-01Lecce vs A.C. Monza3–0
2021-05-04A.C. Monza vs Lecce1–0
2021-01-04Lecce vs A.C. Monza0–0

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FAQ

Who will win US Lecce vs AC Monza?
Tofiko's model favours US Lecce (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does US Lecce vs AC Monza kick off?
Sun, 13 Sep 2026 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the US Lecce vs AC Monza head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 5 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureMonza vs Lecce14 Feb 2027 →