US Leccevs
AC MonzaUS Lecce vs AC Monza Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie ASun, 13 Sep 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs US Lecce41%
- US Lecce 41%
- Draw 37%
- AC Monza 22%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks US Lecce, rating it at 41.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and US Lecce won 1 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AC Monza's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
US Lecce: WDLWW
AC Monza: DLLWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 20%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-16 | AC Monza vs US Lecce | 0–0 |
| 2024-12-15 | US Lecce vs AC Monza | 2–1 |
| 2024-04-27 | Lecce vs AC Monza | 1–1 |
| 2023-09-17 | AC Monza vs Lecce | 1–1 |
| 2023-05-28 | A.C. Monza vs Lecce | 0–1 |
| 2022-09-11 | Lecce vs A.C. Monza | 1–1 |
| 2022-02-27 | A.C. Monza vs Lecce | 0–1 |
| 2021-10-01 | Lecce vs A.C. Monza | 3–0 |
| 2021-05-04 | A.C. Monza vs Lecce | 1–0 |
| 2021-01-04 | Lecce vs A.C. Monza | 0–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win US Lecce vs AC Monza?
- Tofiko's model favours US Lecce (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does US Lecce vs AC Monza kick off?
- Sun, 13 Sep 2026 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the US Lecce vs AC Monza head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 5 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.