US Lecce crestUS LeccevsSSC Napoli crestSSC Napoli

US Lecce vs SSC Napoli Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie ASun, 07 Feb 2027 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

SSC Napoli to win61%

1X2: model backs SSC Napoli at 61%.

Tofiko14% / 26% / 61%
  • US Lecce
  • Draw
  • SSC Napoli

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • US Lecce or draw39%
  • Draw or SSC Napoli86%
  • US Lecce or SSC Napoli74%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.538%
  • Under 2.562%

Both teams to score

  • US Lecce, last 10 home games5 of 10
  • SSC Napoli, last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick SSC Napoli, rating it at 60.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and US Lecce won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 118 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

US Lecce: LLWLL

SSC Napoli: WDWLL

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 118 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 8Games
  • 1.88Avg goals
  • 38%Both scored
  • 38%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-14SSC Napoli vs US Lecce2–1
2025-10-28US Lecce vs SSC Napoli0–1
2025-05-03US Lecce vs SSC Napoli0–1
2024-10-26SSC Napoli vs US Lecce1–0
2024-05-26Napoli vs Lecce0–0
2023-09-30Lecce vs Napoli0–4
2023-04-07Lecce vs Napoli1–2
2022-08-31Napoli vs Lecce1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win US Lecce vs SSC Napoli?
Tofiko's model favours SSC Napoli (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does US Lecce vs SSC Napoli kick off?
Sun, 07 Feb 2027 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the US Lecce vs SSC Napoli head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 1.88 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureNapoli vs Lecce5 Dec 2026 →