SSC Napoli crestSSC NapolivsUS Lecce crestUS Lecce

SSC Napoli vs US Lecce Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie ASat, 05 Dec 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

SSC Napoli to win71%

1X2: model backs SSC Napoli at 71%.

Tofiko71% / 21% / 8%
  • SSC Napoli
  • Draw
  • US Lecce

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • SSC Napoli or draw92%
  • Draw or US Lecce29%
  • SSC Napoli or US Lecce79%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.544%
  • Under 2.556%

Both teams to score

  • SSC Napoli, last 10 home games5 of 10
  • US Lecce, last 10 away games2 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick SSC Napoli, rating it at 70.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and SSC Napoli won 4 of 8, with 2 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 55 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

SSC Napoli: WDWLL

US Lecce: LLWLL

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 55 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 8Games
  • 1.88Avg goals
  • 38%Both scored
  • 38%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-14SSC Napoli vs US Lecce2–1
2025-10-28US Lecce vs SSC Napoli0–1
2025-05-03US Lecce vs SSC Napoli0–1
2024-10-26SSC Napoli vs US Lecce1–0
2024-05-26Napoli vs Lecce0–0
2023-09-30Lecce vs Napoli0–4
2023-04-07Lecce vs Napoli1–2
2022-08-31Napoli vs Lecce1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win SSC Napoli vs US Lecce?
Tofiko's model favours SSC Napoli (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does SSC Napoli vs US Lecce kick off?
Sat, 05 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the SSC Napoli vs US Lecce head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 1.88 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureLecce vs Napoli7 Feb 2027 →