SSC Napolivs
US LecceSSC Napoli vs US Lecce Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie ASun, 06 Dec 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SSC Napoli71%
- SSC Napoli 71%
- Draw 21%
- US Lecce 8%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick SSC Napoli, rating it at 70.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and SSC Napoli won 4 of 8, with 2 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 21.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
SSC Napoli: WLWWL
US Lecce: WDLWW
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 1.88Avg goals
- 38%Both scored
- 38%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | SSC Napoli vs US Lecce | 2–1 |
| 2025-10-28 | US Lecce vs SSC Napoli | 0–1 |
| 2025-05-03 | US Lecce vs SSC Napoli | 0–1 |
| 2024-10-26 | SSC Napoli vs US Lecce | 1–0 |
| 2024-05-26 | Napoli vs Lecce | 0–0 |
| 2023-09-30 | Lecce vs Napoli | 0–4 |
| 2023-04-07 | Lecce vs Napoli | 1–2 |
| 2022-08-31 | Napoli vs Lecce | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win SSC Napoli vs US Lecce?
- Tofiko's model favours SSC Napoli (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SSC Napoli vs US Lecce kick off?
- Sun, 06 Dec 2026 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the SSC Napoli vs US Lecce head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 1.88 goals per game.