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AC Monza crestAC MonzavsEmpoli FC crestEmpoli FC

AC Monza vs Empoli FC Prediction, H2H & Stats

Italian Serie BFri, 08 May 2026 18:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: AC Monza 22 Empoli FC

Tofiko prediction

Model backs AC Monza63%

AC Monza 63%
Draw 24%
Empoli FC 13%
  • AC Monza 63%
  • Draw 24%
  • Empoli FC 13%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick AC Monza, rating it at 63.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and AC Monza won 1 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 23.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

AC Monza: LWWLW

Empoli FC: DWDWL

Head-to-head

  • 10Games
  • 2.10Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 40%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-08AC Monza vs Empoli FC2–2
2025-10-01Empoli FC vs AC Monza1–1
2025-05-18AC Monza vs Empoli FC1–3
2024-08-17Empoli FC vs AC Monza0–0
2024-01-21Empoli vs AC Monza3–0
2023-08-26AC Monza vs Empoli2–0
2023-03-04A.C. Monza vs Empoli2–1
2022-10-15Empoli vs A.C. Monza1–0
2021-02-06A.C. Monza vs Empoli1–1
2020-10-03Empoli vs A.C. Monza0–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win AC Monza vs Empoli FC?
Tofiko's model favours AC Monza (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does AC Monza vs Empoli FC kick off?
Fri, 08 May 2026 18:30 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the AC Monza vs Empoli FC head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 5 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.10 goals per game.

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