AC Monzavs
Empoli FCAC Monza 2-2 Empoli FC — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BFri, 08 May 2026 18:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AC Monza63%
- AC Monza 63%
- Draw 24%
- Empoli FC 13%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick AC Monza, rating it at 63.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and AC Monza won 1 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. AC Monza's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Empoli FC's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AC Monza's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
AC Monza: LLWDL
Empoli FC: LWDDD
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 2.10Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | AC Monza vs Empoli FC | 2–2 |
| 2025-10-01 | Empoli FC vs AC Monza | 1–1 |
| 2025-05-18 | AC Monza vs Empoli FC | 1–3 |
| 2024-08-17 | Empoli FC vs AC Monza | 0–0 |
| 2024-01-21 | Empoli vs AC Monza | 3–0 |
| 2023-08-26 | AC Monza vs Empoli | 2–0 |
| 2023-03-04 | A.C. Monza vs Empoli | 2–1 |
| 2022-10-15 | Empoli vs A.C. Monza | 1–0 |
| 2021-02-06 | A.C. Monza vs Empoli | 1–1 |
| 2020-10-03 | Empoli vs A.C. Monza | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AC Monza vs Empoli FC?
- Tofiko's model favours AC Monza (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AC Monza vs Empoli FC kick off?
- Fri, 08 May 2026 18:30 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the AC Monza vs Empoli FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 5 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.10 goals per game.