AC Monza crestAC MonzavsACF Fiorentina crestACF Fiorentina

AC Monza vs ACF Fiorentina Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie AMon, 23 Nov 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

ACF Fiorentina or draw79%

1X2: model backs ACF Fiorentina at 49% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.

Tofiko21% / 30% / 49%
  • AC Monza
  • Draw
  • ACF Fiorentina

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • AC Monza or draw51%
  • Draw or ACF Fiorentina79%
  • AC Monza or ACF Fiorentina70%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.545%
  • Under 2.555%

Both teams to score

  • AC Monza, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • ACF Fiorentina, last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (380 games)47%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick ACF Fiorentina, rating it at 49.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and AC Monza won 1 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 42 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

AC Monza: LDWWL

ACF Fiorentina: LDWWL

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 42 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 6Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 83%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-01-13AC Monza vs ACF Fiorentina2–1
2024-09-01ACF Fiorentina vs AC Monza2–2
2024-05-13Fiorentina vs AC Monza2–1
2023-12-22AC Monza vs Fiorentina0–1
2023-04-23A.C. Monza vs Fiorentina3–2
2023-01-04Fiorentina vs A.C. Monza1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win AC Monza vs ACF Fiorentina?
Tofiko's model favours ACF Fiorentina (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does AC Monza vs ACF Fiorentina kick off?
Mon, 23 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the AC Monza vs ACF Fiorentina head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureFiorentina vs Monza23 May 2027 →