AC Monzavs
US Sassuolo CalcioAC Monza vs US Sassuolo Calcio Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie AFri, 18 Sep 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs US Sassuolo Calcio41%
- AC Monza 29%
- Draw 30%
- US Sassuolo Calcio 41%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick US Sassuolo Calcio, rating it at 41.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and AC Monza won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 41.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. US Sassuolo Calcio's last 5 produced 31 goals — 6.2 per game; they scored in 2 of them and conceded in 4. AC Monza's 5 produced 17, at 3.4 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- US Sassuolo Calcio's games are very high-scoring at 6.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
AC Monza: LWWLW
US Sassuolo Calcio: DLWWL
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 1.75Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-01-28 | AC Monza vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 1–0 |
| 2023-10-02 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs AC Monza | 0–1 |
| 2023-05-19 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs A.C. Monza | 1–2 |
| 2023-01-22 | A.C. Monza vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win AC Monza vs US Sassuolo Calcio?
- Tofiko's model favours US Sassuolo Calcio (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AC Monza vs US Sassuolo Calcio kick off?
- Fri, 18 Sep 2026 18:45 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the AC Monza vs US Sassuolo Calcio head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.75 goals per game.