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SSC Napoli crestSSC NapolivsUS Cremonese crestUS Cremonese

SSC Napoli vs US Cremonese Prediction, H2H & Stats

Italian Serie A 2025-2026Fri, 24 Apr 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: finished

Final: SSC Napoli 40 US Cremonese

Tofiko prediction

Model backs SSC Napoli76%

SSC Napoli 76%
Draw 17%
US Cremonese 7%
  • SSC Napoli 76%
  • Draw 17%
  • US Cremonese 7%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick SSC Napoli, rating it at 75.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and SSC Napoli won 2 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 75.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 17.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

SSC Napoli: WLWWL

US Cremonese: DWLWW

Head-to-head

  • 4Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 25%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-24SSC Napoli vs US Cremonese4–0
2025-12-28US Cremonese vs SSC Napoli0–2
2023-02-12Napoli vs Cremonese3–0
2022-10-09Cremonese vs Napoli1–4

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win SSC Napoli vs US Cremonese?
Tofiko's model favours SSC Napoli (76% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does SSC Napoli vs US Cremonese kick off?
Fri, 24 Apr 2026 18:45 GMT — Italian Serie A 2025-2026.
What is the SSC Napoli vs US Cremonese head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

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