SSC Napoli crestSSC NapolivsACF Fiorentina crestACF Fiorentina

SSC Napoli vs ACF Fiorentina Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie ASun, 17 Jan 2027 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

SSC Napoli to win62%

1X2: model backs SSC Napoli at 62%.

Tofiko62% / 25% / 13%
  • SSC Napoli
  • Draw
  • ACF Fiorentina

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • SSC Napoli or draw87%
  • Draw or ACF Fiorentina38%
  • SSC Napoli or ACF Fiorentina75%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.552%
  • Under 2.548%

Both teams to score

  • SSC Napoli, last 10 home games5 of 10
  • ACF Fiorentina, last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick SSC Napoli, rating it at 61.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and SSC Napoli won 4 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 97 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

SSC Napoli: WDWLL

ACF Fiorentina: LDWWL

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 97 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.90Avg goals
  • 70%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-20ACF Fiorentina vs SSC Napoli1–1
2026-01-31SSC Napoli vs ACF Fiorentina2–1
2025-09-13ACF Fiorentina vs SSC Napoli1–3
2025-03-09SSC Napoli vs ACF Fiorentina2–1
2025-01-04ACF Fiorentina vs SSC Napoli0–3
2024-05-17Fiorentina vs Napoli2–2
2023-10-08Napoli vs Fiorentina1–3
2023-05-07Napoli vs Fiorentina1–0
2022-08-28Fiorentina vs Napoli0–0
2022-04-10Napoli vs Fiorentina2–3

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FAQ

Who will win SSC Napoli vs ACF Fiorentina?
Tofiko's model favours SSC Napoli (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does SSC Napoli vs ACF Fiorentina kick off?
Sun, 17 Jan 2027 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the SSC Napoli vs ACF Fiorentina head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.90 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legFiorentina 1-1 Napoli20 Sept 2026 →