ACF Fiorentinavs
SSC NapoliACF Fiorentina vs SSC Napoli Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie ASun, 20 Sep 2026 10:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SSC Napoli47%
- ACF Fiorentina 24%
- Draw 29%
- SSC Napoli 47%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick SSC Napoli, rating it at 46.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and ACF Fiorentina won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- ACF Fiorentina's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
ACF Fiorentina: DWLWW
SSC Napoli: WLWWL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | SSC Napoli vs ACF Fiorentina | 2–1 |
| 2025-09-13 | ACF Fiorentina vs SSC Napoli | 1–3 |
| 2025-03-09 | SSC Napoli vs ACF Fiorentina | 2–1 |
| 2025-01-04 | ACF Fiorentina vs SSC Napoli | 0–3 |
| 2024-05-17 | Fiorentina vs Napoli | 2–2 |
| 2023-10-08 | Napoli vs Fiorentina | 1–3 |
| 2023-05-07 | Napoli vs Fiorentina | 1–0 |
| 2022-08-28 | Fiorentina vs Napoli | 0–0 |
| 2022-04-10 | Napoli vs Fiorentina | 2–3 |
| 2021-10-03 | Fiorentina vs Napoli | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win ACF Fiorentina vs SSC Napoli?
- Tofiko's model favours SSC Napoli (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does ACF Fiorentina vs SSC Napoli kick off?
- Sun, 20 Sep 2026 10:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the ACF Fiorentina vs SSC Napoli head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.