SSC Napolivs
Frosinone CalcioSSC Napoli vs Frosinone Calcio Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie ASun, 11 Oct 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SSC Napoli75%
- SSC Napoli 75%
- Draw 17%
- Frosinone Calcio 8%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick SSC Napoli, rating it at 75.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and SSC Napoli won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 75.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 16.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
SSC Napoli: WLWWL
Frosinone Calcio: DDWWW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-14 | Napoli vs Frosinone | 2–2 |
| 2023-08-19 | Frosinone vs Napoli | 1–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win SSC Napoli vs Frosinone Calcio?
- Tofiko's model favours SSC Napoli (75% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SSC Napoli vs Frosinone Calcio kick off?
- Sun, 11 Oct 2026 16:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the SSC Napoli vs Frosinone Calcio head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.