US Sassuolo Calcio crestUS Sassuolo CalciovsAtalanta BC crestAtalanta BC

US Sassuolo Calcio vs Atalanta BC Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie ASun, 04 Apr 2027 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Atalanta BC53%

  • US Sassuolo Calcio 23%
  • Draw 24%
  • Atalanta BC 53%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Atalanta BC, rating it at 52.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and US Sassuolo Calcio won 4 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

They arrive from very different football. US Sassuolo Calcio's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Atalanta BC's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.

The model puts the draw at 24.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 215 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

US Sassuolo Calcio: WLWLL

Atalanta BC: WWWDW

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 215 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.60Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-23Atalanta BC vs US Sassuolo Calcio2–1
2026-03-01US Sassuolo Calcio vs Atalanta BC2–1
2025-11-09Atalanta BC vs US Sassuolo Calcio0–3
2024-02-17Atalanta vs US Sassuolo Calcio3–0
2023-08-20US Sassuolo Calcio vs Atalanta0–2
2023-02-04US Sassuolo Calcio vs Atalanta1–0
2022-10-15Atalanta vs US Sassuolo Calcio2–1
2022-04-10US Sassuolo Calcio vs Atalanta2–1
2021-09-21Atalanta vs US Sassuolo Calcio2–1
2021-05-02US Sassuolo Calcio vs Atalanta1–1

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FAQ

Who will win US Sassuolo Calcio vs Atalanta BC?
Tofiko's model favours Atalanta BC (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does US Sassuolo Calcio vs Atalanta BC kick off?
Sun, 04 Apr 2027 16:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the US Sassuolo Calcio vs Atalanta BC head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.

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