US Sassuolo Calcio crestUS Sassuolo CalciovsAtalanta BC crestAtalanta BC

US Sassuolo Calcio vs Atalanta BC Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie ASun, 04 Apr 2027 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Atalanta BC to win53%

1X2: model backs Atalanta BC at 53%.

Tofiko23% / 24% / 53%
  • US Sassuolo Calcio
  • Draw
  • Atalanta BC

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • US Sassuolo Calcio or draw47%
  • Draw or Atalanta BC77%
  • US Sassuolo Calcio or Atalanta BC76%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.565%
  • Under 2.535%

Both teams to score

  • US Sassuolo Calcio, last 10 home games8 of 10
  • Atalanta BC, last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Atalanta BC, rating it at 52.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and US Sassuolo Calcio won 4 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 175 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

US Sassuolo Calcio: DLWDD

Atalanta BC: LLLWW

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 175 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.60Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-23Atalanta BC vs US Sassuolo Calcio2–1
2026-03-01US Sassuolo Calcio vs Atalanta BC2–1
2025-11-09Atalanta BC vs US Sassuolo Calcio0–3
2024-02-17Atalanta vs US Sassuolo Calcio3–0
2023-08-20US Sassuolo Calcio vs Atalanta0–2
2023-02-04US Sassuolo Calcio vs Atalanta1–0
2022-10-15Atalanta vs US Sassuolo Calcio2–1
2022-04-10US Sassuolo Calcio vs Atalanta2–1
2021-09-21Atalanta vs US Sassuolo Calcio2–1
2021-05-02US Sassuolo Calcio vs Atalanta1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win US Sassuolo Calcio vs Atalanta BC?
Tofiko's model favours Atalanta BC (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does US Sassuolo Calcio vs Atalanta BC kick off?
Sun, 04 Apr 2027 16:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the US Sassuolo Calcio vs Atalanta BC head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legAtalanta 2-1 Sassuolo23 Aug 2026 →