US Sassuolo Calciovs
US CremoneseUS Sassuolo Calcio 1-0 US Cremonese — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie A 2025-2026Sun, 25 Jan 2026 11:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs US Sassuolo Calcio55%
- US Sassuolo Calcio 55%
- Draw 23%
- US Cremonese 22%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick US Sassuolo Calcio, rating it at 55.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and US Sassuolo Calcio won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 55.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. US Sassuolo Calcio's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. US Cremonese's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
US Sassuolo Calcio: WLWLL
US Cremonese: WLLWW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs US Cremonese | 1–0 |
| 2025-08-29 | US Cremonese vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 3–2 |
| 2023-03-06 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs Cremonese | 3–2 |
| 2022-09-04 | Cremonese vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win US Sassuolo Calcio vs US Cremonese?
- Tofiko's model favours US Sassuolo Calcio (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does US Sassuolo Calcio vs US Cremonese kick off?
- Sun, 25 Jan 2026 11:30 GMT — Italian Serie A 2025-2026.
- What is the US Sassuolo Calcio vs US Cremonese head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.