US Sassuolo Calciovs
Hellas Verona FCUS Sassuolo Calcio vs Hellas Verona FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie A 2025-2026Fri, 20 Feb 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: finished
Final: US Sassuolo Calcio 3–0 Hellas Verona FC
Tofiko prediction
Model backs US Sassuolo Calcio55%
- US Sassuolo Calcio 55%
- Draw 23%
- Hellas Verona FC 23%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick US Sassuolo Calcio, rating it at 54.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and US Sassuolo Calcio won 7 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. US Sassuolo Calcio's last 5 produced 31 goals — 6.2 per game; they scored in 2 of them and conceded in 4. Hellas Verona FC's 5 produced 17, at 3.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- US Sassuolo Calcio's games are very high-scoring at 6.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
US Sassuolo Calcio: DLWWL
Hellas Verona FC: WWWLD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.30Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-20 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs Hellas Verona FC | 3–0 |
| 2025-10-03 | Hellas Verona FC vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 0–1 |
| 2024-03-03 | Hellas Verona vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 1–0 |
| 2023-09-01 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs Hellas Verona | 3–1 |
| 2023-04-08 | Hellas Verona vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 2–1 |
| 2022-10-24 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs Hellas Verona | 2–1 |
| 2022-01-16 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs Hellas Verona | 2–4 |
| 2021-08-21 | Hellas Verona vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 2–3 |
| 2021-03-13 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs Hellas Verona | 3–2 |
| 2020-11-22 | Hellas Verona vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win US Sassuolo Calcio vs Hellas Verona FC?
- Tofiko's model favours US Sassuolo Calcio (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does US Sassuolo Calcio vs Hellas Verona FC kick off?
- Fri, 20 Feb 2026 19:45 GMT — Italian Serie A 2025-2026.
- What is the US Sassuolo Calcio vs Hellas Verona FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 0 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.