Venezia FC vs ACF Fiorentina Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie AFri, 11 Sep 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs ACF Fiorentina51%
- Venezia FC 20%
- Draw 29%
- ACF Fiorentina 51%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick ACF Fiorentina, rating it at 51.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Venezia FC won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Venezia FC's last 5 produced 24 goals — 4.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 1. ACF Fiorentina's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Venezia FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Venezia FC: LWWWW
ACF Fiorentina: DDWLW
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 1.25Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-12 | Venezia FC vs ACF Fiorentina | 2–1 |
| 2024-08-25 | ACF Fiorentina vs Venezia FC | 0–0 |
| 2022-04-16 | Fiorentina vs Venezia F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2021-10-18 | Venezia F.C. vs Fiorentina | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Venezia FC vs ACF Fiorentina?
- Tofiko's model favours ACF Fiorentina (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Venezia FC vs ACF Fiorentina kick off?
- Fri, 11 Sep 2026 18:45 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the Venezia FC vs ACF Fiorentina head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.25 goals per game.