Venezia FCvs
ACF FiorentinaVenezia FC vs ACF Fiorentina Prediction, H2H & Form
Italian Serie AFri, 11 Sep 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs ACF Fiorentina49%
- Venezia FC 27%
- Draw 24%
- ACF Fiorentina 49%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick ACF Fiorentina, rating it at 49.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Venezia FC won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 49.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 9 Sep 2026.
Venezia FC: LLLLW
ACF Fiorentina: LLLWD
Head-to-head
As of 9 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 1.25Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-12 | Venezia FC vs ACF Fiorentina | 2–1 |
| 2024-08-25 | ACF Fiorentina vs Venezia FC | 0–0 |
| 2022-04-16 | Fiorentina vs Venezia F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2021-10-18 | Venezia F.C. vs Fiorentina | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Venezia FC vs ACF Fiorentina?
- Tofiko's model favours ACF Fiorentina (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Venezia FC vs ACF Fiorentina kick off?
- Fri, 11 Sep 2026 18:45 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the Venezia FC vs ACF Fiorentina head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.25 goals per game.