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Venezia FC crestVenezia FCvsACF Fiorentina crestACF Fiorentina

Venezia FC vs ACF Fiorentina Prediction, H2H & Stats

Italian Serie AFri, 11 Sep 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs ACF Fiorentina51%

Venezia FC 20%
Draw 29%
ACF Fiorentina 51%
  • Venezia FC 20%
  • Draw 29%
  • ACF Fiorentina 51%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick ACF Fiorentina, rating it at 51.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Venezia FC won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Venezia FC's last 5 produced 24 goals — 4.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 1. ACF Fiorentina's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Venezia FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Venezia FC: LWWWW

ACF Fiorentina: DDWLW

Head-to-head

  • 4Games
  • 1.25Avg goals
  • 25%Both scored
  • 25%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-05-12Venezia FC vs ACF Fiorentina2–1
2024-08-25ACF Fiorentina vs Venezia FC0–0
2022-04-16Fiorentina vs Venezia F.C.1–0
2021-10-18Venezia F.C. vs Fiorentina1–0

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FAQ

Who will win Venezia FC vs ACF Fiorentina?
Tofiko's model favours ACF Fiorentina (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Venezia FC vs ACF Fiorentina kick off?
Fri, 11 Sep 2026 18:45 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the Venezia FC vs ACF Fiorentina head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.25 goals per game.

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