Arminia Bielefeld crestArminia BielefeldvsBorussia Dortmund crestBorussia Dortmund

Arminia Bielefeld 1-3 Borussia Dortmund — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2021-2022Sat, 23 Oct 2021 13:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Borussia Dortmund64%

Tofiko15% / 21% / 64%
Market11% / 18% / 71%
  • Arminia Bielefeld
  • Draw
  • Borussia Dortmund

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 64.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Arminia Bielefeld won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • Arminia Bielefeld's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 26 Sep 2026.

Arminia Bielefeld: DLDLD

Borussia Dortmund: WWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 26 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 25%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2022-03-13Borussia Dortmund vs Arminia Bielefeld1–0
2021-10-23Arminia Bielefeld vs Borussia Dortmund1–3
2021-02-27Borussia Dortmund vs Arminia Bielefeld3–0
2020-10-31Arminia Bielefeld vs Borussia Dortmund0–2

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FAQ

Who will win Arminia Bielefeld vs Borussia Dortmund?
Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Arminia Bielefeld vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?
Sat, 23 Oct 2021 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2021-2022.
What is the Arminia Bielefeld vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legBorussia Dortmund 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld13 Mar 2022 →