Borussia Dortmundvs
Arminia BielefeldBorussia Dortmund 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2021-2022Sun, 13 Mar 2022 16:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Borussia Dortmund75%
- Borussia Dortmund 75%
- Draw 18%
- Arminia Bielefeld 7%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 75.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Borussia Dortmund won all of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 75.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 17.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Borussia Dortmund's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
Borussia Dortmund: WWLDD
Arminia Bielefeld: LDWLL
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-13 | Borussia Dortmund vs Arminia Bielefeld | 1–0 |
| 2021-10-23 | Arminia Bielefeld vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–3 |
| 2021-02-27 | Borussia Dortmund vs Arminia Bielefeld | 3–0 |
| 2020-10-31 | Arminia Bielefeld vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Arminia Bielefeld?
- Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (75% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Borussia Dortmund vs Arminia Bielefeld kick off?
- Sun, 13 Mar 2022 16:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2021-2022.
- What is the Borussia Dortmund vs Arminia Bielefeld head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.