TSG 1899 Hoffenheim crestTSG 1899 HoffenheimvsHamburger SV crestHamburger SV

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2-3 Hamburger SV — Result, H2H & Form

German BundesligaSat, 10 Oct 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim55%

Tofiko55% / 22% / 23%
Market70% / 17% / 13%
  • TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
  • Draw
  • Hamburger SV

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, rating it at 55.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
  • Hamburger SV's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 13 Oct 2026.

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: LLLWL

Hamburger SV: WWWLL

Head-to-head

As of 13 Oct 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 4.33Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-10-10TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV2–3
2026-04-25Hamburger SV vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim1–2
2025-12-13TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV4–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV?
Tofiko's model favours TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV kick off?
Sat, 10 Oct 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.33 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureHamburger SV vs 1899 Hoffenheim20 Feb 2027 →