Borussia Dortmundvs
FC Bayern MunichBorussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern Munich Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 06 Mar 2027 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
FC Bayern Munich or draw73%
1X2: model backs FC Bayern Munich at 49% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Borussia Dortmund
- Draw
- FC Bayern Munich
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Borussia Dortmund or draw51%
- Draw or FC Bayern Munich73%
- Borussia Dortmund or FC Bayern Munich77%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.578%
- Under 2.522%
Both teams to score
- Borussia Dortmund, last 10 home games6 of 10
- FC Bayern Munich, last 10 away games8 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Bayern Munich, rating it at 49.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Borussia Dortmund won 1 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- FC Bayern Munich's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 144 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Borussia Dortmund: DWWWW
FC Bayern Munich: DDWWW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 144 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.70Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern Munich | 1–2 |
| 2026-02-28 | Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern Munich | 2–3 |
| 2025-10-18 | FC Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–1 |
| 2025-04-12 | FC Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–2 |
| 2024-11-30 | Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern Munich | 1–1 |
| 2024-03-30 | Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–2 |
| 2023-11-04 | Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich | 0–4 |
| 2023-04-01 | Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund | 4–2 |
| 2022-10-08 | Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich | 2–2 |
| 2022-04-23 | Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern Munich?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Bayern Munich (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern Munich kick off?
- Sat, 06 Mar 2027 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern Munich head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.70 goals per game.