Borussia Dortmund crestBorussia DortmundvsFC Bayern Munich crestFC Bayern Munich

Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern Munich Prediction, H2H & Form

German BundesligaSat, 06 Mar 2027 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Bayern Munich49%

Tofiko27% / 23% / 49%
  • Borussia Dortmund
  • Draw
  • FC Bayern Munich

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick FC Bayern Munich, rating it at 49.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Borussia Dortmund won 1 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

What to keep in mind

  • FC Bayern Munich's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 165 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Borussia Dortmund: WWWWW

FC Bayern Munich: WWWDW

Head-to-head

As of 22 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 165 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.70Avg goals
  • 80%Both scored
  • 80%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-22Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern Munich1–2
2026-02-28Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern Munich2–3
2025-10-18FC Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund2–1
2025-04-12FC Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund2–2
2024-11-30Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern Munich1–1
2024-03-30Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund0–2
2023-11-04Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich0–4
2023-04-01Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund4–2
2022-10-08Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich2–2
2022-04-23Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund3–1

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FAQ

Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern Munich?
Tofiko's model favours FC Bayern Munich (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern Munich kick off?
Sat, 06 Mar 2027 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the Borussia Dortmund vs FC Bayern Munich head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.70 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureBayern München vs Borussia Dortmund31 Oct 2026 →