FC Bayern Munich crestFC Bayern MunichvsHolstein Kiel crestHolstein Kiel

FC Bayern Munich 4-3 Holstein Kiel — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2024-2025Sat, 01 Feb 2025 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Bayern Munich87%

Tofiko87% / 10% / 3%
Market94% / 4% / 2%
  • FC Bayern Munich
  • Draw
  • Holstein Kiel

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Bayern Munich, rating it at 86.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and FC Bayern Munich won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. FC Bayern Munich's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 2. Holstein Kiel's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • FC Bayern Munich's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 24 Sep 2026.

FC Bayern Munich: WWWDW

Holstein Kiel: DLDLW

Head-to-head

As of 24 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 7.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-02-01FC Bayern Munich vs Holstein Kiel4–3
2024-09-14Holstein Kiel vs FC Bayern Munich1–6

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC Bayern Munich vs Holstein Kiel?
Tofiko's model favours FC Bayern Munich (87% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Bayern Munich vs Holstein Kiel kick off?
Sat, 01 Feb 2025 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2024-2025.
What is the FC Bayern Munich vs Holstein Kiel head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 7.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legHolstein Kiel 1-6 Bayern München14 Sept 2024 →