FC Bayern Munichvs
Holstein KielFC Bayern Munich 4-3 Holstein Kiel — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2024-2025Sat, 01 Feb 2025 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Bayern Munich87%
- FC Bayern Munich 87%
- Draw 10%
- Holstein Kiel 3%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Bayern Munich, rating it at 86.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and FC Bayern Munich won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 86.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 10.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Bayern Munich's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
FC Bayern Munich: WWWWW
Holstein Kiel: LWDDL
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 7.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-01 | FC Bayern Munich vs Holstein Kiel | 4–3 |
| 2024-09-14 | Holstein Kiel vs FC Bayern Munich | 1–6 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Bayern Munich vs Holstein Kiel?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Bayern Munich (87% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Bayern Munich vs Holstein Kiel kick off?
- Sat, 01 Feb 2025 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2024-2025.
- What is the FC Bayern Munich vs Holstein Kiel head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 7.00 goals per game.