Hertha BSC Berlin crestHertha BSC BerlinvsMonchengladbach crestMonchengladbach

Hertha BSC Berlin 4-1 Monchengladbach — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2022-2023Sun, 12 Feb 2023 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Monchengladbach44%

  • Hertha BSC Berlin 34%
  • Draw 22%
  • Monchengladbach 44%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Monchengladbach, rating it at 43.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Hertha BSC Berlin won 2 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 22.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Monchengladbach's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 3 Sep 2026.

Hertha BSC Berlin: WDWWD

Monchengladbach: LWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 3 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2023-02-12Hertha BSC Berlin vs Monchengladbach4–1
2022-08-19Monchengladbach vs Hertha BSC Berlin1–0
2022-03-12Monchengladbach vs Hertha BSC Berlin2–0
2021-10-23Hertha BSC Berlin vs Monchengladbach1–0
2021-04-10Hertha BSC Berlin vs Monchengladbach2–2
2020-12-12Monchengladbach vs Hertha BSC Berlin1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Hertha BSC Berlin vs Monchengladbach?
Tofiko's model favours Monchengladbach (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Hertha BSC Berlin vs Monchengladbach kick off?
Sun, 12 Feb 2023 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2022-2023.
What is the Hertha BSC Berlin vs Monchengladbach head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

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