Hertha BSC Berlin 4-1 Monchengladbach — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2022-2023Sun, 12 Feb 2023 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Monchengladbach44%
- Hertha BSC Berlin 34%
- Draw 22%
- Monchengladbach 44%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Monchengladbach, rating it at 43.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Hertha BSC Berlin won 2 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 22.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Monchengladbach's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
Hertha BSC Berlin: WDWWD
Monchengladbach: LWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-02-12 | Hertha BSC Berlin vs Monchengladbach | 4–1 |
| 2022-08-19 | Monchengladbach vs Hertha BSC Berlin | 1–0 |
| 2022-03-12 | Monchengladbach vs Hertha BSC Berlin | 2–0 |
| 2021-10-23 | Hertha BSC Berlin vs Monchengladbach | 1–0 |
| 2021-04-10 | Hertha BSC Berlin vs Monchengladbach | 2–2 |
| 2020-12-12 | Monchengladbach vs Hertha BSC Berlin | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Hertha BSC Berlin vs Monchengladbach?
- Tofiko's model favours Monchengladbach (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Hertha BSC Berlin vs Monchengladbach kick off?
- Sun, 12 Feb 2023 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2022-2023.
- What is the Hertha BSC Berlin vs Monchengladbach head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.