FC St. Pauli crestFC St. PaulivsHolstein Kiel crestHolstein Kiel

FC St. Pauli 3-1 Holstein Kiel — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2024-2025Fri, 29 Nov 2024 19:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC St. Pauli46%

Tofiko46% / 25% / 29%
Market52% / 25% / 23%
  • FC St. Pauli
  • Draw
  • Holstein Kiel

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick FC St. Pauli, rating it at 45.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and FC St. Pauli won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 24 Sep 2026.

FC St. Pauli: DWDLL

Holstein Kiel: DLDLW

Head-to-head

As of 24 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 3.67Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-14Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli2–2
2025-04-12Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli1–2
2024-11-29FC St. Pauli vs Holstein Kiel3–1

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FAQ

Who will win FC St. Pauli vs Holstein Kiel?
Tofiko's model favours FC St. Pauli (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC St. Pauli vs Holstein Kiel kick off?
Fri, 29 Nov 2024 19:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2024-2025.
What is the FC St. Pauli vs Holstein Kiel head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legHolstein Kiel 1-2 FC St. Pauli12 Apr 2025 →