FC Bayern Munich vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 13 Mar 2027 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
FC Bayern Munich to win76%
1X2: model backs FC Bayern Munich at 76%.
- FC Bayern Munich
- Draw
- 1.FSV Mainz 05
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- FC Bayern Munich or draw92%
- Draw or 1.FSV Mainz 0524%
- FC Bayern Munich or 1.FSV Mainz 0584%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.575%
- Under 2.525%
Both teams to score
- FC Bayern Munich, last 10 home games7 of 10
- 1.FSV Mainz 05, last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Bayern Munich, rating it at 76.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Bayern Munich won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 150 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
FC Bayern Munich: DDWWW
1.FSV Mainz 05: LWWLW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 150 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 4.90Avg goals
- 90%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern Munich | 3–4 |
| 2025-12-14 | FC Bayern Munich vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–2 |
| 2025-04-26 | FC Bayern Munich vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 3–0 |
| 2024-12-14 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern Munich | 2–1 |
| 2024-03-09 | Bayern Munich vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 8–1 |
| 2023-10-21 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich | 1–3 |
| 2023-04-22 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich | 3–1 |
| 2022-10-29 | Bayern Munich vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 6–2 |
| 2022-04-30 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich | 3–1 |
| 2021-12-11 | Bayern Munich vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Bayern Munich vs 1.FSV Mainz 05?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Bayern Munich (76% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Bayern Munich vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 kick off?
- Sat, 13 Mar 2027 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the FC Bayern Munich vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.90 goals per game.