Greuther Furth crestGreuther Furthvs1.FSV Mainz 05 crest1.FSV Mainz 05

Greuther Furth 2-1 1.FSV Mainz 05 — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2021-2022Sat, 22 Jan 2022 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs 1.FSV Mainz 0557%

  • Greuther Furth 21%
  • Draw 22%
  • 1.FSV Mainz 05 57%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick 1.FSV Mainz 05, rating it at 57.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Greuther Furth won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 21.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 3 Sep 2026.

Greuther Furth: WLLDW

1.FSV Mainz 05: DWWWD

Head-to-head

As of 3 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2022-01-22Greuther Furth vs 1.FSV Mainz 052–1
2021-08-281.FSV Mainz 05 vs Greuther Furth3–0

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FAQ

Who will win Greuther Furth vs 1.FSV Mainz 05?
Tofiko's model favours 1.FSV Mainz 05 (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Greuther Furth vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 kick off?
Sat, 22 Jan 2022 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2021-2022.
What is the Greuther Furth vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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