Greuther Furth 2-1 1.FSV Mainz 05 — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2021-2022Sat, 22 Jan 2022 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs 1.FSV Mainz 0557%
- Greuther Furth 21%
- Draw 22%
- 1.FSV Mainz 05 57%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick 1.FSV Mainz 05, rating it at 57.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Greuther Furth won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 3 Sep 2026.
Greuther Furth: WLLDW
1.FSV Mainz 05: DWWWD
Head-to-head
As of 3 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-22 | Greuther Furth vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–1 |
| 2021-08-28 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs Greuther Furth | 3–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Greuther Furth vs 1.FSV Mainz 05?
- Tofiko's model favours 1.FSV Mainz 05 (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Greuther Furth vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 kick off?
- Sat, 22 Jan 2022 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2021-2022.
- What is the Greuther Furth vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.