Hamburger SVvs
FC Schalke 04Hamburger SV vs FC Schalke 04 Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 12 Dec 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Hamburger SV64%
- Hamburger SV 64%
- Draw 24%
- FC Schalke 04 13%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Hamburger SV, rating it at 63.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The model puts the draw at 23.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Hamburger SV: LWLDW
FC Schalke 04: WWWWL
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Hamburger SV vs FC Schalke 04?
- Tofiko's model favours Hamburger SV (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Hamburger SV vs FC Schalke 04 kick off?
- Sat, 12 Dec 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.