Borussia Dortmundvs
Hamburger SVBorussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 29 Aug 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Borussia Dortmund70%
- Borussia Dortmund 70%
- Draw 20%
- Hamburger SV 10%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 70.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Borussia Dortmund won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 70.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 19.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Borussia Dortmund: WDLWW
Hamburger SV: LWLDW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV | 3–2 |
| 2025-11-08 | Hamburger SV vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV?
- Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (70% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV kick off?
- Sat, 29 Aug 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.