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FC Augsburg crestFC AugsburgvsFC Schalke 04 crestFC Schalke 04

FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 Prediction, H2H & Stats

German BundesligaSat, 29 Aug 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Augsburg63%

FC Augsburg 63%
Draw 24%
FC Schalke 04 13%
  • FC Augsburg 63%
  • Draw 24%
  • FC Schalke 04 13%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick FC Augsburg, rating it at 63.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and FC Augsburg won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 63.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. FC Augsburg's last 5 produced 32 goals — 6.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. FC Schalke 04's 5 produced 18, at 3.6 per game.

The model puts the draw at 24.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
  • FC Augsburg's games are very high-scoring at 6.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

FC Augsburg: WLDLW

FC Schalke 04: WWWWL

Head-to-head

  • 4Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2023-03-18Augsburg vs Schalke 041–1
2022-10-02Schalke 04 vs Augsburg2–3
2021-04-11Schalke 04 vs Augsburg1–0
2020-12-13Augsburg vs Schalke 042–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04?
Tofiko's model favours FC Augsburg (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 kick off?
Sat, 29 Aug 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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