FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 29 Aug 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Augsburg63%
- FC Augsburg 63%
- Draw 24%
- FC Schalke 04 13%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Augsburg, rating it at 63.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and FC Augsburg won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 63.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. FC Augsburg's last 5 produced 32 goals — 6.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. FC Schalke 04's 5 produced 18, at 3.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- FC Augsburg's games are very high-scoring at 6.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Augsburg: WLDLW
FC Schalke 04: WWWWL
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-18 | Augsburg vs Schalke 04 | 1–1 |
| 2022-10-02 | Schalke 04 vs Augsburg | 2–3 |
| 2021-04-11 | Schalke 04 vs Augsburg | 1–0 |
| 2020-12-13 | Augsburg vs Schalke 04 | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Augsburg (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 kick off?
- Sat, 29 Aug 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.