VfB Stuttgartvs
FC Bayern MunichVfB Stuttgart vs FC Bayern Munich Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 23 Jan 2027 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Bayern Munich63%
- VfB Stuttgart 17%
- Draw 20%
- FC Bayern Munich 63%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Bayern Munich, rating it at 62.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and VfB Stuttgart won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 20.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Bayern Munich's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 144 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
VfB Stuttgart: LWLWW
FC Bayern Munich: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 144 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 4.20Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | FC Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart | 5–1 |
| 2026-05-23 | FC Bayern Munich(N) vs VfB Stuttgart | 3–0 |
| 2026-04-19 | FC Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart | 4–2 |
| 2025-12-06 | VfB Stuttgart vs FC Bayern Munich | 0–5 |
| 2025-02-28 | VfB Stuttgart vs FC Bayern Munich | 1–3 |
| 2024-10-19 | FC Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart | 4–0 |
| 2024-05-04 | VfB Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich | 3–1 |
| 2023-12-17 | Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart | 3–0 |
| 2023-03-04 | VfB Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich | 1–2 |
| 2022-09-10 | Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs FC Bayern Munich?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Bayern Munich (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does VfB Stuttgart vs FC Bayern Munich kick off?
- Sat, 23 Jan 2027 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the VfB Stuttgart vs FC Bayern Munich head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 4.20 goals per game.