FC Bayern Munichvs
VfB StuttgartFC Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaFri, 28 Aug 2026 18:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Bayern Munich74%
- FC Bayern Munich 74%
- Draw 16%
- VfB Stuttgart 9%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Bayern Munich, rating it at 74.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Bayern Munich won 4 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. VfB Stuttgart's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 3. FC Bayern Munich's 5 produced 18, at 3.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 16.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- VfB Stuttgart's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Bayern Munich: WWLWW
VfB Stuttgart: WWWWL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | FC Bayern Munich(N) vs VfB Stuttgart | 3–0 |
| 2026-04-19 | FC Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart | 4–2 |
| 2025-12-06 | VfB Stuttgart vs FC Bayern Munich | 0–5 |
| 2025-02-28 | VfB Stuttgart vs FC Bayern Munich | 1–3 |
| 2024-10-19 | FC Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart | 4–0 |
| 2024-05-04 | VfB Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich | 3–1 |
| 2023-12-17 | Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart | 3–0 |
| 2023-03-04 | VfB Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich | 1–2 |
| 2022-09-10 | Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart | 2–2 |
| 2022-05-08 | Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Bayern Munich (74% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart kick off?
- Fri, 28 Aug 2026 18:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the FC Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.