Borussia Monchengladbachvs
RB LeipzigBorussia Monchengladbach vs RB Leipzig Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 23 Jan 2027 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs RB Leipzig50%
- Borussia Monchengladbach 25%
- Draw 26%
- RB Leipzig 50%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick RB Leipzig, rating it at 49.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Borussia Monchengladbach won 1 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 25.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Borussia Monchengladbach's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 144 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Borussia Monchengladbach: LWWWW
RB Leipzig: WWLLW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 144 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 1.80Avg goals
- 10%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | RB Leipzig vs Borussia Monchengladbach | 3–0 |
| 2026-04-11 | RB Leipzig vs Borussia Monchengladbach | 1–0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Borussia Monchengladbach vs RB Leipzig | 0–0 |
| 2025-03-29 | Borussia Monchengladbach vs RB Leipzig | 1–0 |
| 2024-11-09 | RB Leipzig vs Borussia Monchengladbach | 0–0 |
| 2024-02-17 | RB Leipzig vs Monchengladbach | 2–0 |
| 2023-09-23 | Monchengladbach vs RB Leipzig | 0–1 |
| 2023-03-11 | RB Leipzig vs Monchengladbach | 3–0 |
| 2022-09-17 | Monchengladbach vs RB Leipzig | 3–0 |
| 2022-05-02 | Monchengladbach vs RB Leipzig | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Borussia Monchengladbach vs RB Leipzig?
- Tofiko's model favours RB Leipzig (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Borussia Monchengladbach vs RB Leipzig kick off?
- Sat, 23 Jan 2027 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the Borussia Monchengladbach vs RB Leipzig head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.80 goals per game.