RB Leipzigvs
Borussia MonchengladbachRB Leipzig vs Borussia Monchengladbach Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 29 Aug 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs RB Leipzig65%
- RB Leipzig 65%
- Draw 22%
- Borussia Monchengladbach 13%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick RB Leipzig, rating it at 65.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and RB Leipzig won 5 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Borussia Monchengladbach's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. RB Leipzig's 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Borussia Monchengladbach's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
RB Leipzig: LWWWL
Borussia Monchengladbach: WWWWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 20%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | RB Leipzig vs Borussia Monchengladbach | 1–0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Borussia Monchengladbach vs RB Leipzig | 0–0 |
| 2025-03-29 | Borussia Monchengladbach vs RB Leipzig | 1–0 |
| 2024-11-09 | RB Leipzig vs Borussia Monchengladbach | 0–0 |
| 2024-02-17 | RB Leipzig vs Monchengladbach | 2–0 |
| 2023-09-23 | Monchengladbach vs RB Leipzig | 0–1 |
| 2023-03-11 | RB Leipzig vs Monchengladbach | 3–0 |
| 2022-09-17 | Monchengladbach vs RB Leipzig | 3–0 |
| 2022-05-02 | Monchengladbach vs RB Leipzig | 3–1 |
| 2021-12-11 | RB Leipzig vs Monchengladbach | 4–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win RB Leipzig vs Borussia Monchengladbach?
- Tofiko's model favours RB Leipzig (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does RB Leipzig vs Borussia Monchengladbach kick off?
- Sat, 29 Aug 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the RB Leipzig vs Borussia Monchengladbach head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.