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1.FSV Mainz 05 crest1.FSV Mainz 05vsSC Paderborn 07 crestSC Paderborn 07

1.FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 Prediction, H2H & Stats

German BundesligaSat, 29 Aug 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs 1.FSV Mainz 0551%

1.FSV Mainz 05 51%
Draw 29%
SC Paderborn 07 21%
  • 1.FSV Mainz 05 51%
  • Draw 29%
  • SC Paderborn 07 21%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick 1.FSV Mainz 05, rating it at 50.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

They arrive from very different football. 1.FSV Mainz 05's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 2. SC Paderborn 07's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

1.FSV Mainz 05: DWWWW

SC Paderborn 07: WWDDW

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07?
Tofiko's model favours 1.FSV Mainz 05 (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 kick off?
Sat, 29 Aug 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.

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